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12 Aug 2014
AUD/USD: 0.9340/50 should cap near term - Westpac
FXStreet (Bali) - The FX Strategy Team at Westpac review the latest technical and fundamental developments in the AUD/USD, noting that 0.9340/50 should cap the pair near term.
Key Quotes
"AUD/USD begins the week having traded 2 month lows but at least avoiding a test of 0.9200. Friday’s sharp recovery in US equities helps the Aussie start the week calmly but the rest of the week should be more mixed. Pricing for another RBA rate cut reached around 70% on Friday but has been trimmed to 50% on the bounce in risk."
"Rate cut talk shouldn’t be encouraged by local data: we look for decent readings on business and consumer sentiment. Commodity price signals are firmly neutral. 0.9340/50 should cap the pair near term, with bears likely to have ongoing news-flow from Ukraine and Iraq to prevent a still arguably overvalued AUD from sustaining rallies."
Key Quotes
"AUD/USD begins the week having traded 2 month lows but at least avoiding a test of 0.9200. Friday’s sharp recovery in US equities helps the Aussie start the week calmly but the rest of the week should be more mixed. Pricing for another RBA rate cut reached around 70% on Friday but has been trimmed to 50% on the bounce in risk."
"Rate cut talk shouldn’t be encouraged by local data: we look for decent readings on business and consumer sentiment. Commodity price signals are firmly neutral. 0.9340/50 should cap the pair near term, with bears likely to have ongoing news-flow from Ukraine and Iraq to prevent a still arguably overvalued AUD from sustaining rallies."