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11 Dec 2015
US: Countdown to lift-off begins – ING
FXStreet (Delhi) – Research Team at ING, suggests that next week will be all about the Federal Reserve rate decision.
Key Quotes
“Financial markets are currently pricing in around an 80% chance of a 25bp hike on 16 December and after US CPI shows a jump in the annual rate of inflation the day before, we think there will be a majority on the FOMC who believe it is finally time to start lifting rates higher.”
“After all, the economy is growing reasonably strongly outside of the manufacturing sector, jobs are being created in significant number, wages are starting to rise and inflation is bouncing higher as last year’s oil price plunge drops out of the annual comparison. Nonetheless, the accompanying statement will emphasise a cautious tightening path, which means it could be several months before we get another rate rise.”
Key Quotes
“Financial markets are currently pricing in around an 80% chance of a 25bp hike on 16 December and after US CPI shows a jump in the annual rate of inflation the day before, we think there will be a majority on the FOMC who believe it is finally time to start lifting rates higher.”
“After all, the economy is growing reasonably strongly outside of the manufacturing sector, jobs are being created in significant number, wages are starting to rise and inflation is bouncing higher as last year’s oil price plunge drops out of the annual comparison. Nonetheless, the accompanying statement will emphasise a cautious tightening path, which means it could be several months before we get another rate rise.”